POLYBOT
PAPER
Polymarket Football Trading Bot — Dual Portfolio
Dashboard
Trades
Logs
Analysis
Overall Win Rate
66.7%
2 / 3 resolved
Avg Model Prob (Wins)
40.9%
Avg Model Prob (Losses)
48.4%
Edge Accuracy — Do Higher Edges Win More?
Edge Range
Total
Wins
Losses
Win Rate
P&L
20%+
3
2
1
67%
$+80.52
By Market Type
Type
Total
W
L
Win%
P&L
Avg Edge
match_winner
3
2
1
67%
$+80.52
24.1%
By Portfolio
Pool
Total
W
L
Win%
P&L
futures
3
2
1
67%
$+80.52
Loss Post-Mortem — Where Was The Model Wrong?
#13 — Greece vs. Paraguay
Pick:
Greece
Our Model:
48.4%
Market Price:
26.5%
Edge Claimed:
+21.9%
Shares:
188.7
Lost:
$1.89
Pool:
futures
Model breakdown: Home: 48% | Draw: 19% | Away: 33%